Arthur

[Chasing Ghosts]

Heads up people.... Farmer..... better though some pontoons on the tractors

000
wtnt31 knhc 011745
tcpat1

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tropical storm arthur intermediate advisory number 3a
nws national hurricane center miami fl al012014
200 pm edt tue jul 01 2014

...tropical storm arthur gradually getting better organized...
...air force reserve reconnaissance aircraft enroute...


Summary of 200 pm edt...1800 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...27.9n 79.4w
about 80 mi...130 km ese of cape canaveral florida
about 100 mi...165 km nnw of freeport grand bahama island
maximum sustained winds...40 mph...65 km/h
present movement...nw or 325 degrees at 5 mph...7 km/h
minimum central pressure...1007 mb...29.74 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

None.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

A tropical storm watch is in effect for...
* east coast of florida from fort pierce to flagler beach

a tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area...in this case within the next 24
hours.

Interests along the united states east coast north of the watch
area through southeastern virginia should monitor the progress of
tropical storm arthur.

For storm information specific to your area in the united states...
Including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor
products issued by your local national weather service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
united states...please monitor products issued by your local
national weather service forecast office.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 pm edt...1800 utc...the center of tropical storm arthur was
located by noaa doppler radars near latitude 27.9 north...longitude
79.4 west. Arthur is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph...
7 km/h...and this general motion should continue through tonight...
Followed by a turn toward the north on wednesday. On the forecast
track...the center of the tropical cyclone is expected to remain
just offshore and move east of the east-central coast of florida
during the next day or so. The system is forecast to pass east of
northeastern florida on wednesday and wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph...65 km/h...with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. During
the past few hours...the settlement point observation site on grand
bahama island reported a gust of 44 mph...70 km/h.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km...
Mainly to the south of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb...29.74 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area by late today.

Rainfall...arthur is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches...mainly across the eastern florida
peninsula. Isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches are possible through
wednesday. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum
amounts of 6 inches are possible over the northwestern bahamas
through wednesday.

Surf...swells generated by arthur are affecting portions of the
east-central coast of florida. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip currents...especially along piers and
jetties. These hazardous conditions will gradually spread northward
along the coasts of northeast florida and georgia through wednesday.
For more information...please monitor products issued by your local
national weather service forecast office.


Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...500 pm edt.

$$
forecaster stewart

[tahoe 50]

there goes the rivers and creeks. they will be all churned up now from the storms.

[Chasing Ghosts]

Keeping an eye on it, but not in alert mode just yet though.

Wind and rain, of course... just not sure how much.... leaning to relaxing my guard on this one though.

Don't get me wrong... I'm prepared for it... just nos overly concerned.

[Chasing Ghosts]

Hatteras Island now under a mandatory evacuation.

[fishman78]

Had a week long vacation planned for OBX sarting Saturday.....guessing my plans have changed.

[REDBOAT]

Na you should be fine weather wise. Not sure on the state of hwy 12 though

[Chasing Ghosts]

Na you should be fine weather wise. Not sure on the state of hwy 12 though

+1 to that

[crappiefarmer]

Been pulling 16 hour days trying to plant soybeans and only got half way on them before we shut down for the storm. Its starting to get a little sporty down here now. Sounds like we will be rocking and rolling pretty good after midnight. I am having to live stream TV stations down south of me to get coverage. Anywhere North of the Albemarle sound is considered a Virginia market and no longer get stations out of Greenville and New Bern. They are carrying full coverage right now. WAVY 10 SUCKS! We are in their market now and only have a stupid ticker running. Only source I have is on the web, radio, and twitter. Oh, just got a tornado warning here. This is getting fun. Tornado is tracking to My North about 10 miles and heading off to the NW. Hope to be able to report later on. Its going to suck if power goes. They are only calling for gust here to 50 at max but just 30 miles to my east, is a whole different ballgame and 60 miles to my east is supposed to see 100 mph winds. Alligator river is going to catch it again. Hatteras on up to Kill Devil Hills is going to get smoked. I hope Jim Cantore gets taught a lesson. Idiot is down in Rodanthe.CF

[tahoe 50]

He is a wimp. He'll be inside and some flunky will be out in the storm. Then he'll jump out and look good for the camera. Ed you hold on tight down there. I got my arse hog tied. Its goin to be a rough night for sure. I might be water front property before this night is over. I like them better during the day so I can see it. I live just a half mile from Currituck sound, straight west of Knotts Island. Is that Kansas I see down there.

[crappiefarmer]

He is a wimp. He'll be inside and some flunky will be out in the storm. Then he'll jump out and look good for the camera. Ed you hold on tight down there. I got my arse hog tied. Its goin to be a rough night for sure. I might be water front property before this night is over. I like them better during the day so I can see it. I live just a half mile from Currituck sound, straight west of Knotts Island. Is that Kansas I see down there.

So far, wind has only picked up a little here. Hope this is it. Dave, I know You are further East. Hope it Quarters away from You.CF