In agreement with you! Went couple weeks ago (Westchester Cty - upstate NY) and nothing! Water temps were still cold (42 degrees). Decided to wait but as soon as temps look favorable, it drops like an anvil! I plan to give it a try next week. Only thing working in my favor, the daytime temps have been consistently in the upper 50's low 60's range. Just hoping water warms as well. Will report when the time comes