I've always noticed a certain amount of what I reckoned to be shad die-offs in the later winter months with the yearly presence of seagulls diving and following these schools with a vengeance, but I have since changed my thinking some on this topic, because the gulls are there every year and are diving on shad even during many milder winter years that I can recall. I have also ran my boat smack dab through these schools of shad from time to time on the shallower flats and I believe the gulls are more likely just as likely diving on any shad that approach the surface within the relatively short range of the gull's diving ability. I believe that sunshine and/or dissolved oxygen levels and/or microorganisms and/or ph levels and/or thermal currents and/or wind currents pushing any of those can have just as much to do with the circumstances that draw shad schools to these shallower areas as anything else.
During the times that I was curious enough to check into this pretty cool natural phenomena... I never recall witnessing the presence of dying shad floundering on or around the water surface... but occasionally would see shad just beneath the surface and even waking the surface of the water like any other time of the year... and the schools would often show on my sonar grouped very close to the surface to mid depth in the water column. Accordingly, while I do believe there are shad die offs during extremely cold periods... I believe these currents carrying warmer temperature, dissolved oxygen, microorganisms and optimum ph might be just the draw to shallow water and/or shallowness in the water column for the shad that the gulls anticipate and are drawn to every year at about the same time of the year. Cold weather die offs are just bonus conditions that make the pickin's much better and easier for the gulls and other predatory birds.
Aside from cold weather die offs... I also believe that only a small percentage of gull dives successfully catch a fish. Just my two cents.
Last edited by Special K; 02-20-2014 at 09:57 PM.
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