That's why I've tried to talk my older son into becoming a Fisheries Biologist. If he did, I think he could take care of ole dad and his fishing needs later in years.
I don't know, but I do think that the question you asked is at the core of the puzzle for those who do fish management. There are so many variables that no two lake environment situations are the same. Perhaps, if the powers to be really knew the answer, conservation and management wouldn't be an issue at all. Assuming that we fishermen could negatively impact a year-class of crappie in a single fishery, wouldn't that make it all the more important to ensure a plentiful, successful spawn each year? Or, is that why we have hatcheries so we don't have to close the season? Hmmmm. In the case of Lake Norfork (north central arkansas) The crappie were nearly all gone. They built some habitat and started stocking the lake, then as luck would have it, the lake was bless with high water during the spawn. That one spawn, I believe, made all the difference. Lake Charles, a smaller impoundment has always produced descent crappie but the numbers according to studies had fallen dramatically. They put a length limit on and stocked the lake. It'll be interesting to see what the results are.