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Thread: KY Lake Fall Shindig. helping with KDFWR data collection

  1. #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by Amartinbio View Post
    I realize that I've thrown a lot of data up here, so feel free to ask questions about any of this information. One thing I would like to mention is the importance of perspective. These are long term averages based on large sample sizes of thousands of fish. The large sample sizes make it very accurate and reflective of the overall population. However, your own individual fishing experience might be different. Some of you may catch plump healthy crappie, others of you might catch skinny crappie. Without the perspective of thousands of fish, it is very easy to jump to conclusions.

    Are Asian carp having an effect on growth and relative weight??? Maybe. Its impossible to say what growth and relative weight might have looked like without any Asian carp. But I can say that the growth and relative weights are not significantly different than their long term averages or the years before carp. This may change in the future, but we certainly hope not.

    Spawn success continues to be controlled largely by environmental conditions during the spawning season. Generally speaking, a high flow, high water event around late april seems to positively affect the spawn. A no flood year like 2016 usually produces a poor spawn. We have an active research project in jonathan creek seeking a better understanding of these environmental factors but it will be several years before we are confident about our results.
    Have Asian carp affected the spawn success? Maybe. But the year classes post carp are not significantly different than the year classes before carp. We have plans to evaluate the potential interaction between carp and larval and juvenile crappie, but at this point we don't know for sure whether they are competing for the same food resources.
    Thanks for all the information and the work you guys do. Your post appears to be a very solid take on the data as I see it although I fear many probably won't see it that way and continue to panic or look at the data through a little less objective lens.

  2. #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by bandchaser View Post
    Adam,
    This is great information and is alot to take in. The first thing that jumped out to me was the incorporation of the current size limit and creel on the twin lakes. When did this happen? Reason I ask is because the health data appeared to spike in the early 2000's, then began to drop again below the 95 minimum. Is there a direct correlation to the increase in health due to the regulation change? And is there another correlation to the decrease when we began to see the Asian carp in these lakes?

    I would like to see why these lakes long term average for the health metrics are at or below the minimum. Prior to the Asian carp, we have always had plenty of shad, which has been a major concern over the past couple of years with more panic developing everyday.

    Your and the entire staffs efforts are greatly appreciated. Thank you for what you guys and gals do!

    Brian

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    Brian,

    The 10 inch size limit was enacted in 1989. The creel limit was lowered from 30 to 20 in 2008. In the past I had only compared these with recruitment trends to see if they had an effect (they did not).
    So lets take a look at whether they or Asian carp correlate with declines in relative weight.

    I'm going to use black crappie as the example since I would expect them to show a negative trend sooner than white crappie, (black crappie typically rely on zooplankton as a food source a little bit longer than white crappie so they might be affected by carp sooner). And lets say that 1985-1999 is pre carp; 2000-2017 is post carp.
    ky lake 1985-1999 average black crappie relative weight = 89.13
    ky lake 2000-2017 average black crappie relative weight = 94.64
    So its certainly hard to say that carp have had a negative effect on crappie relative weight. Just last year the relative weights were 98.5 which is virtually perfect.

    This year the relative weights are generally down. This is very likely due to low numbers of shad this fall. Could shad numbers be down because of carp? Quite possibly. But the effects of environmental conditions on the shad spawn are likely much stronger than the effects of competition with Asian carp. There have been years with low shad numbers before, and there will be years with low shad numbers in the future. Just like there will be years with high shad abundance (we hope).
    Asian carp are a huge problem and we expect to see negative effects. The number one goal is to decrease their numbers to keep this from happening.
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  3. #23
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    Great stuff. I believe our TN marine biologist spend more time on the golf course than the do on the river course. One of them checks the Paris Landing course quite often.
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  4. #24
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cane Pole View Post
    Great stuff. I believe our TN marine biologist spend more time on the golf course than the do on the river course. One of them checks the Paris Landing course quite often.
    Maybe he is a birdie specialist.
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    Quote Originally Posted by "D" View Post
    Maybe he is a birdie specialist.
    Looking for migrating "eagles"....

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  6. #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by "D" View Post
    Maybe he is a birdie specialist.
    NAW, he's doing a fish count in the water hazard
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  7. #27
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    Quote Originally Posted by Amartinbio View Post
    Brian,

    The 10 inch size limit was enacted in 1989. The creel limit was lowered from 30 to 20 in 2008. In the past I had only compared these with recruitment trends to see if they had an effect (they did not).
    So lets take a look at whether they or Asian carp correlate with declines in relative weight.

    I'm going to use black crappie as the example since I would expect them to show a negative trend sooner than white crappie, (black crappie typically rely on zooplankton as a food source a little bit longer than white crappie so they might be affected by carp sooner). And lets say that 1985-1999 is pre carp; 2000-2017 is post carp.
    ky lake 1985-1999 average black crappie relative weight = 89.13
    ky lake 2000-2017 average black crappie relative weight = 94.64
    So its certainly hard to say that carp have had a negative effect on crappie relative weight. Just last year the relative weights were 98.5 which is virtually perfect.

    This year the relative weights are generally down. This is very likely due to low numbers of shad this fall. Could shad numbers be down because of carp? Quite possibly. But the effects of environmental conditions on the shad spawn are likely much stronger than the effects of competition with Asian carp. There have been years with low shad numbers before, and there will be years with low shad numbers in the future. Just like there will be years with high shad abundance (we hope).
    Asian carp are a huge problem and we expect to see negative effects. The number one goal is to decrease their numbers to keep this from happening.
    Do shad and asian carp eat the same thing? I'm guessing that they do. PLANKTON
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  8. #28
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    Quote Originally Posted by Northforker View Post
    Do shad and asian carp eat the same thing? I'm guessing that they do. PLANKTON
    Yes, they do .... and unfortunately so do the fry of many sport fish.
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